Throughout the 2016 presidential election, the gender divide between support for Democratic nominee Hillary Clinton and Republican Donald Trump has been significant. In a series of tweets, FiveThirtyEight stats guru Nate Silver illustrated the chasm between men and women.
Here’s what the map would look line if only women voted: https://t.co/sjVY67qouE pic.twitter.com/rrc3GuXmGl
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 11, 2016
And here’s if just dudes voted. pic.twitter.com/HjqJzIVwc4
— Nate Silver (@NateSilver538) October 11, 2016
However, a poll released on Wednesday by Bloomberg Politics reveals that, with the recent collapse of Trump’s support following the release of an 11-year-old tape showing him bragging about how his wealth and fame allows him to commit sexual assault with impunity (and the subsequent revelations of the former reality TV star’s past behavior dovetailing with that admission), that gap may be shrinking.
The poll, which was conducted Oct. 14-17, shows Clinton leading Trump among men for the first time by a margin of 46 percent to Trump’s 44 percent.
The poll’s margin of error is 3.1 percent, which effectively means that Trump and Clinton are now tied with men. Among women, Clinton is atracting 55 percent support compared to Trump’s 39 percent.
An important caveat here is that no single poll should be treated as gospel. Instead, looking at aggregations of multiple polls is a much better way gain a more complete understanding of where the presidential race is at any given time. Most poll aggregators show the former secretary of state leading her GOP opponent with a margin in the high single digits.
Check out the poll’s full results and methodology here.
